silent sedition, wrinkly, private dancer, itz invincible, heart of a lion, lord topper & pinball wizard, all won for me recently

I always take into consideration the clear top weight in a race. Then I sometimes lay, sometimes back, or just ignore.

IMO the filters above are too restrictive. I consider all local meetings. Performance at the track rather than track & distance. And first-up record, if resuming.

Got a few winners Saturday including Redkirk Warrior, Morendi Hang, Sidetrip, Battle Hero, Spurcraft, Tisani Tomso, Choice Bro & Iconoclast

Dothraki, Milwaukee, Exoteric, Epic Rant, Comfortable, Lota Creek Gold, Big Tomee, Chloride, Biscuit Time & Bend It Like Benny

sounds reasonable starraft & it looks like it's working for you

Yep :)

LOL
Keep laying gents :)

Hi STARRAFT.

Negative for me when they're drawn wide
A positive when ridden by claiming apprentice in form, or with some previous good results on the same horse

Like all these 1 horse a race systems .

Long term they only lead one to the poorhouse.

I have a number of "1 horse a race" systems in my armoury, so can have more than one bet in a race
Doing ok thankyou

The bow you draw here Dark one is way too long. I've been living off punting for years now and I only have the ability to back one horse per race.

I believe you may not quite grasp the depth of angles one can approach this field. Just because one approach won't work for you, does not mean the subject has been exhausted.

Did play around with Top Weights some time back. Mainly multiple betting. Had a number of filters, but best results came when restricting to those in the first four lines of the prepost market.

Use a number of filters when assessing the winning chance of a top weight
Won't divulge all but three key filters for me are
Distance up to and including 1400m
No apprentice jockey
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

A sensible place to start.

Sprint race, established rider, AND two other Ratings agencies "rate" the horse.

Then you refine their estimates. If it works, why not.

A common element in a lot of my systems

Top Weight
In the first four lines of the prepost market
UniTAB rating between 97 and 100

Thanks Shaun.

Will try it out.

Cheers,

Clear top weighted horse down in class on previous start

Hi STARRAFT,

Looks ok to me.

Thanks.

Best horse in the race according to the handicapper, so yes, consider. However, the top-weight in a handicap is at a disadvantage, giving away weight. You need to consider the field strength. Just how disadvantaged is the horse relative to the field strength.

True also.

Interestingly it was Warren Block who researched this factor and he was a non Bettor.

Yep, already do this. Thanks.

So you really don't want additional disadvantages. For the top-weight, also consider jockey pros & cons, suitability of race distance, barrier draw & likely speed map against the top-weights normal racing style.

In my view also worth noting live weight v dead weight
The latter a disadvantage

Another reason to penalise for an apprentice ?

I wouldn't if the apprentice is riding well.

Yep, that would work for me

fancied top-weight ridden by in-form apprentice - BONUS!