Morning to all!!
I look at all "form" systems as a waste of time. Either the "good" form is so obvious that the prices are driven down to unplayable levels (even with a high S/R) or the "form" is suspect anyway (or arbitrary,which is worse). Plus, any system/selection method deliberately targetting LOW prices is a crazy compounding of the original error to boot.I also can't agree with Bhagwan either, unfortunately.
Longshots, at correspondingly low S/Rs, have always been the "preferred option" for me. By definition a longshot has got bad/insufficient/dodgy form and I say.....so what??? All sports are psychological (it's about the trainer in racing) and understanding this is where the big paydays come from. Consider why he/she is putting the horse in today's race DESPITE "bad form" and you may soon be well ahead of the game, Benny.
Should anyone doubt that outsiders are the "way to go" just observe the bookies pleasure when the boilovers arrive!!! While they are cheering most of the punters are wailing, so looking for a way to wipe the smile off their(the bookies) faces HAS to be the answer. You can imagine that $1000 plonked on the 66-1 shot, (if you've selected "wisely") 20 seconds before the jump is going to do THAT a lot more effectively than on the even money(or 2-1,3-1,4-1 etc) fav!!! Anyway, good luck, as always, in every close finish.