OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Ratings2Win Profitable Favourites

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- Ratings2Win (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=63)

- - Ratings2Win Profitable Favourites - Is it possible? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26541)

Michal

5th June 2013 09:29 AM

Code:

05/06/2013 
12:18 CANTE 1   6  Rastro - R2W PROFIT FAVE WET

darkydog2002

5th June 2013 09:41 AM

Your a brave man betting on Slow tracks Michal but good luck.

Michal

6th June 2013 08:54 AM

Thanks Darky, it was a good result yestrday

Code:

06/06/2013 
                   11:00 GEESY 1   3  Princeton Miss - R2W PROFIT FAVE DRY
                   12:20 GOSFO 1   8  Natural Dancer - R2W PROFIT FAVE WET
                   13:10 GEESY 5   8  True Statement - R2W PROFIT FAVE DRY
                   14:40 GOSFO 5   1  Tamariz        - R2W PROFIT FAVE WET

Michal

7th June 2013 09:12 AM

Code:

07/06/2013 
12:00 SWAN  1   3  Gemset - FAVE DRY
12:35 SWAN  2   14 Bobcat - FAVE DRY
13:00 IPSWI 2   1  Four Jays - FAVE DRY
14:03 GRAFT 6   1  Floral Insight - FAVE DRY
16:20 ACTON 8   2  Buffalo Chase - FAVE DRY

Michal

8th June 2013 09:28 AM

Code:

08/06/2013 
11:35 FLEMI 2   1  Coins - FAVE DRY
13:50 KEMBL 4   4  Carbonite - FAVE DRY
15:45 KEMBL 7   1  We Have A Winner - FAVE DRY
16:24 KEMBL 8   1  Manowood - FAVE DRY
16:26 ROCKY 6   1  Top Rada - FAVE DRY

darkydog2002

8th June 2013 02:44 PM

Jut a question?
When you say DRY I assume you mean no bets on Dead /Slow /Heavy TC.
Is that correct?

Cheers
darky

Michal

8th June 2013 03:41 PM

Hi Darky,

For this exercise I consider Dry track to be Good or Dead track condition.

If the track is G/D and the horse is an SP fave its a selection, if it's "FAVE DRY" system

If the track is any condition and the horse is an SP fave its a selection, if it's "FAVE WET" system

The DRY and WET systems start with exactly the same rules, so if its a FAVE WET selection, it remains even if the track condition improves.

You can always use the TAB or Betfair to determine the favouritism although you may have slightly different result it should even out in the end to much the same. Just the same as late race scratchings might add horses to the selection list during the day, we obviously can't help that and can't keep updating our posts but with almost 50-50 chance the horse will win-loose it all pretty much just evens out in the end.

Post 40 was where we started adding the WET system and the rules are set out there as well.

Kind regards

darkydog2002

8th June 2013 04:26 PM

Hi Michal,
Thank you for your very clear post to me.
Cheers
darky

Michal

9th June 2013 11:24 AM

Code:

09/06/2013 
11:30 ELWIC 1   2  Geegees Hot Hussie - FAVE DRY
11:50 SWAN  2   10 Rural Hunter - FAVE DRY
12:10 SAPCT 1   13 French Tarte - FAVE DRY
12:40 ELWIC 3   4  Acacia Bloom - FAVE DRY
13:05 PT AU 2   1  Grand Taj - FAVE DRY
15:10 CALOU 6   2  Endoy - FAVE DRY

Michal

10th June 2013 09:35 AM

Nice result yesterday. 4/5. or 5/6 based on the raw selections.

So far the forum curse is having no effect, as we are right on schedule with the strike rate and well over for the POT from the entire period of the live trial. The same applies for the substantially longer 5 month live trial on our website.

While the others are frantically searching for the next possible method, our well researched method grounded in a large enough sample continues to perform, because we have a real edge over the market here.

It's interesting to note the number of views on this thread based on the result of the previous day. When the result is good the views go up the next day when the result is not favorable the views go down.

This is a typical losing punter behavior.

To win, find a successful method and be consistent in what you do! Always!

Code:

10/06/2013 
    12:45 BALLN 1   6  Rosenet - FAVE WET
    14:57 MORNI 6   2  Vizhaka - FAVE WET

All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:26 PM.

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