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-   -   RaceCensus Bunbury Bonanza System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=29413)

Chrome Prince 24th April 2014 07:31 PM

There is a potential selection tomorrow:

Pinjarra
R 7
# 4
CHOCOLATE MOON

Chrome Prince 25th April 2014 06:43 PM

Chocolate Moon won as favourite.

Twodogs 25th April 2014 06:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
There is a potential selection tomorrow:

Pinjarra
R 7
# 4
CHOCOLATE MOON


Well done another winner! CP thanks for sharing the idea of looking at something different and a winner it looks.

dcpg 25th April 2014 07:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Chocolate Moon won as favourite.


I have been following these horses - but not betting on them! Ahhhh....

SpeedyBen 26th April 2014 08:14 PM

CP
Are there other tracks in Oz which display the same characteristics?

Chrome Prince 27th April 2014 12:22 PM

Not until you dig deeper Speedy.
Bunbury is a standout performer over all distances.
If you break down tracks by distance and class, then there are other good performers.

This system I have provided is a free forum system and not one of the systems that come with the database, it's purely a demonstration of using the database uncnventionally can return some hidden gems.
It's also really meant to be something to incorporate into existing strategies as a side earner because it's a longshot system primarily.

Chrome Prince 28th April 2014 11:03 PM

Got some potential bets for Wednesday and Thursday at this stage:

30/04/2014 (WED) PINJARRA
R 5 # 3 APACHE ROCKET
R 7 # 1 ANGEL WING
R 7 # 5 ZERO TO SIXTY

01/05/2014 (THU) BUNBURY
R 5 # 4 ELITE FLIGHT
R 5 # 7 STAR OF HUSSON
R 6 # 6 STRING OF SMILES
R 8 # 9 TATOLI

Chrome Prince 29th April 2014 05:37 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
CP
Are there other tracks in Oz which display the same characteristics?


I'll give just one example of many of how this information can be used for success, i.e. thinking outside the square.

Take Perth metro tracks, Ascot and Belmont.

Each track has it's own quirks, and therefore horses that win at Ascot are not the same as horses that win at Belmont.
Horses that are able to reel off fast final sectionals at Ascot are far superior to similar horses at Belmont.
That theory being true and correct should be played out in the stats.

Taking final race sectionals for 1200m races at both venues and looking at the horses next starts we come up with this...

Last start winners over 1200m racing again within 30 days AND sectional times less than 35 seconds....

Belmont
553 selections
132 winners
23.87% Strike Rate
-12.28% POT

Ascot
397 selections
121 winners
30.48% Strike Rate
13.44% POT

We haven't even looked at track going, or class.
This is bare bones stats only for 1200m races.

Armed with this information we can come up with horses to lay and horses to back and a pretty comprehensive package of stats and selections when applied to all tracks that record race sectionals over various distances and going.

Hopefully that's just a small demonstration of digging a little bit deeper.

Rinconpaul 30th April 2014 04:48 AM

Good stuff, CP. There's always an angle if you're prepared to look. For those same two tracks using the same criteria, there is a very overlooked factor, and that's whether it's the LSW's Home track today?

SR for not Home track is 17.6%, and for Home track 9.5%. The opposite to what you'd think!

Chrome Prince 30th April 2014 06:34 PM

30/04/2014 (WED) PINJARRA
R 5 # 3 APACHE ROCKET unplaced
R 7 # 1 ANGEL WING $6.60 Best Tote
R 7 # 5 ZERO TO SIXTY unplaced

The bonanza continues :D


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