Hi mate

Older horse ie 7 years upwards, can be a real headaches for system analysts. I use a win to runs percentage rule, eg 80 starts must have won 20 and marginally less percentage required it it may only have had 30 or 40 starts. A good example is in Melbourne on Saturday. 'Another Prelate' is 99% in my system but the age and percentage of wins puts him right on the borderline. 'Spacecraft' is also close but is eliminated on weight. What I do on such occasions is to halve my bet on both horses so as not to totally miss out by not backing a winner, or conversely be satisfied with a smaller win.

Cheers
Dave

__________________
When I want to understand what is happening today or try to decide what will happen tomorrow, I look back... Omar Khayyam-1099