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Old 31st July 2013, 08:28 PM
Michal Michal is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
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Default July Results

Favourites Dry results for July at NSW/Sp div - Bets 36 wins 13 SR 44.4% POT 0.42%

On the face of it it might look like the Dry Favourite system is not working, however we should remember that this month has seen many meetings postponed and run on water affected tracks. Also there has been a large number of trials canceled. All of these factors play havoc with horses preparation. Which may explain the result. Note also that there are about half the number of selections that we expected and as such the result may be just experiencing variance. If you recall we also lost a few good winners including a $5.5 win to equal favouritism and changes to track conditions. Even just today, my farewell 3 from 3 result has been reduced to 2 from 2 because of track changes

We introduced the Wet Favourite System back in June and have been giving the selections out through out this month as well, it's only fair to include them in the result.

Combined Favourite system July results - Bets 50 Wins 25 SR 50% POT 10.4%

Recognising that different conditions need different tools and as such using both systems run together produced better then long-term expected results.
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