Hi All,

To us knowing the bias at or from a particular meeting is almost the most important single variable that we utilize in our probability assessments. Of course yes, its often not a bias but a perceived bias that is for example more pace related however if one has the tools and can identify the bias at the meeting quickly enough then they possess an enormous advantage. A good tip is to understand the tracks you are betting into and learn how wind, rail position and moisture content affect these tracks. If you are prepared to put in the work there are definitely benefits to be had.

In terms of speed mapping a simple solution is to obviously look for positions in running but often the majority of form guides don't have these for all races so that makes this task problematical depending on where you are betting. For us it's more about a horse's inherent early speed ability as well as other factors including but not limited to jockey and trainer intent. IMO using a simple model of PIR on settling won't enable you to develop maps that are reliable enough to make a difference but it's certainly a good way to get started.

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Regards


Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/