Hi LG,

These are the final selections, those that were SP favourite. The over all results have been slightly lower then expected. If you were to take them all (107 bets in June) then the strike rate is 35.5% but they loose 9% POT for this month which is down on the average which is 37% strike rate and -1.3% POT from 4200 selections.

HOWEVER
If you were to bet them proportionally then they lose just 3 cence on turnover based on SP/NSW, using a better pricing model (equivalent to Top Fluctuations, Best tote or Betfair) the pot jumps to 4.3%. Again that is this month.

I would not like to jump to conclusions here as this may be just a short term variance and making decisions based on a few selections (107 bets) is a sure fire way to loose the plot.

Also the results could vary for the Favourite systems depending on what you chose to use as the 'SP'; like betfair favourite or similar. Also late scratchings may add a few selections that were not posted live before the races. Unfortunately it also happens that we lose winners from our list because TC changes and they still win, so we can't claim them even though the bets went on before the TC change. Its all swings and roundabouts.

You say "Remarkable stuff given that we are talking nearly 1 winner in every 2 selections."
I still would like to impress upon people that even with these results we have had 6 outs in a row this month and 10 outs maximum historically. The maximum draw-down this month has been 9 units, and its currently at 8 units so the last few days have been rather trying. This is just a lesson on the reality of punting. It may be uncomfortable, but everyone has these, just some wont tell you about them !

We'll see how we go next month. Thanks for your comments; they are greatly appreciated.

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/