WYONG WINDFALL


The strengths of the ratings2win.com.au Axis database were on show for all clients to see last Friday (4/9/2015) when LAST WITNESS was produced in an Entires & Geldings Set Weights Maiden over 1200m at Wyong.

He had resumed from his spell over 1400m at his previous start at Newcastle when he was competing as a Gelding for the first time (such information is always clearly stated and obvious as are all official Gear Changes and Stable Changes). On the day he attempted to lead all the way but found the journey to be a shade too far for him when he was out-finished late after running the first 800m of that race 5 lengths above average.

Therefore the step back to 1200m at Wyong was always going to be to his liking (certainly no minus). It was when existing clients began to delve into the Axis database that they became so aware of just how well placed he was going to be at Wyong.

A valuable tool in the Axis database, is that programmes have been written which allow the computer to assess the FIELD STRENGTH of each race and then calculate a figure that the winner must rate to win if PAR is to be achieved.

In the race in question, that figure required at Wyong was 88 and LAST WITNESS had rated 93 at Newcastle when the distance was too far for him. His harshest critic would have conceded that the “worst” he would rate was what he rated at Newcastle first up, 93, which showed that he had in fact rated FIVE POINTS higher at Newcastle than what he needed to rate at Wyong in order to be conceded a tremendous chance.

A less demanding form analyst could have made a strong case for him improving off the 93 at Newcastle to hand in an even higher figure at Wyong!

However and fortunately for all concerned in the LAST WITNESS camp and for R2W clients, improving off his 88 at Newcastle was never going to be required in an attempt to win his Wyong assignment.

A quick glance at the necessary data for his opposition showed that none of his opposition at Wyong were capable of rating anywhere near his 93 from Newcastle and a short story summation of the Race could’ve been that LAST WITNESS had to fail to lose, in others words, the others couldn’t win the race, he had to lose it.

For those who haven’t caught up with the Wyong results yet, all ended as expected, LAST WITNESS sprinted quickly to run away from the field winning by a comfortable 2 lengths. The market opened him up at the unexpected odds of $5.50 before he firmed (with some of my money) into $4.60 before easing to start $4.80. His “Best Tote” dividend for those who may not have had time to linger on Friday was a very juicy $5.50 about what appeared a standout odds on chance on our ratings.

There was nothing magical or mysterious about it, the “numbers” are in the database and I welcome all enquiries concerning the above and or all other ratings2win.com.au related matters.

Hey, if you have a Computer of any type, give me a call, we can have a chat and then with the aid of TEAM VIEWER which costs nothing to install, I’d be thrilled to take you through the above scenario at a mutually convenient time.

Thanks for taking the time to read all of the above, and look forward to talking soon.

Good Punting

__________________
Regards


Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/