16/07/2013 
14:20 TVILL 3   4  Awesome Horsesom FAVE DRY

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

17/07/2013 
13:05 BALAK 2   3  Planetary FAVE DRY
13:23 DOOMB 4   7  Anonymiss Kitty FAVE DRY
14:11 FANNI 1   3  Ringwood Magic FAVE DRY
14:15 BALAK 4   7  Lemerio FAVE DRY
14:55 BELPK 2   1  Quokka FAVE DRY
16:03 FANNI 4   7  The Last General FAVE DRY

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

Please note: SP Equal Favourite is considered a selection under the terms of the method. Thank you for the kind emails from all those that persisted and backed the $5.5 equal fave winner at Darvin. We also had a late entry after WA scratchings that won at $2.6 for all those that actually run the system for themselves using Axis. It made for a very profitable day and is shaping to be another sensational month!

Currently running at 52% strike rate this month and 37% POT.

No sight of the forum curse here !!!! Not yet anyway and its been nearly 2 months.

We recommend that you don't wait for us to put up the selections, BUY AXIS AND RUN THE METHOD YOURSELF!

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

Hi Michal

Thankyou for the great information you guys have shared on this forum.

I have always found it difficult betting to systems relying on SP Fav because it often isn't known until after the race jumps.

Today Rocky R1 TAB#1 looked like being SP fav until TAB#3 started a $3 and won.

Can you offer any help here on how to place the bet with confidence?

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“Everyone’s got a plan. Until they get hit”. -Mike Tyson

Hi Rails Run,

You are right, it is not the simplest of things to get right. It is recommended that the bets are placed in the last minute especially if there are selections that are not a clear fave. You can use what ever media to determine the Fave; Sp, Betfair, one of the totes and so on, as long as you do this consistently it will even out the bumps.

Many times we don't get to count the winner, even though the bet was on, due to late change in SP order, change in track condition and so on. Obviously this also happens and the horse loses but in the end consistency of application will smooth this over.

Even more importantly it is imperative to give yourself a chance to get the best possible price. The last General (17/7 Darwin 4) was SP $5.5 it was also available at $6 at several bookies, $6.5 with one bookie, $7 on betfair.

Spending more time on obtaining a good price is more important then worrying about possible selections that are close. Remember these selections are per-qualified in Axis and have a great chance of winning.

Obviously Axis does not need to have its hand held by the market, the raw selections from this system have the ability to make profit as I illustrated in previous posts in this thread. Also other systems can be devised that can be placed on early in one lot so as to eliminate the need to sit there.

The exercise here was to see if favourites can be profitable, it looks like over last 3 years and 6 months live testing (2 months here), that it is possible providing that one can identify those favourites that are deserving of that title, which we accomplish using our ratings as the main filters, there will be more on this, as we unveil even more functionality in Axis over the next few weeks.

Kind regards

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

Thanks Michal. Keep up the good work!

__________________
“Everyone’s got a plan. Until they get hit”. -Mike Tyson

19/07/2013 
13:18 ACTON 3   1  Regallic FAVE DRY
15:03 ACTON 6   7  Canasta Queen FAVE DRY

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

Further to my post yesterday. One of the issues when it comes to punting is the mental capability of punters to deal with a setbacks and wins. Not handling either situation can lead to a disastrous end. That is why I said to err on the side of caution and if the horse looks like being a fave or equal fave then it is better to bet; that way you are not going to have to deal with the pain of missing a winner, which is far harder to deal with (IMO) then a loosing bet.

Our Axis software is geared to only have one Favourite; as a result we won't be claiming The Last General's win in our results, (LOL what else is new) but the money is safely in the bag. It's just one of those swings and roundabouts I was talking about.

A sign of a good system is the ability to absorb some punishment, looking at selections that are equal fave is one such punishment. When I ran the equal fave scenario over all our data the POT is nearly the same, there is about 200 more selections and our strike rate drops only 0.4%. This is great news, mainly because the prices on horses in races where the market is divided are more generous and great outcomes can be achieved; $6.5 for the race favourite is luxurious. So while the sterile results of our test don't show equal fave, betting them and as such preserving ones mental calm is of no consequence in the long run and provides great opportunity for some great outcomes. That is just another reality of punting.

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

20/07/2013 
15:40 FLEMI 7   4  Aregee Mclaren FAVE DRY
17:45 CALOU 2   5  Style Music FAVE DRY
19:35 CALOU 5   13 Sweet And Savage FAVE DRY

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/

Never a truer work written imho; whether you base your selections on ratings or systems (or both).

The final and ultimate filter when it comes to value being price? Applies to many other things in life I find e.g. shopping for household appliances;
(1) research for the 'quality offering' online then
(2) shop for best price you can find in the market = value for money.

Recent experience for me indicates that when you apply the 'price lens' is one of the keys to staying in front. As someone else on here said recently.. if you are watching the movement of the odds from open before placing the bet, it may already be too late when it comes to getting the best price on your selection(s).

Cheers LG

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The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB