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  #1  
Old 5th June 2022, 08:08 PM
Unstable Unstable is offline
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Example of a Value Race, Sunshine Coast Race 5, 5/6/2022.
Fav BF prices, $3.30, next was $5.30. Only 3 horses under $10.00.

There was value, in Dutch betting in this race, the 3 under $10.00, were all Value Runners.

However, with a closer look, No.2 The Kewess, last start run was on the Poly Track, beaten 3.7lens, prior to that, was beaten by a nose, heavy 9. Finds a Soft 6 and an extra 200m. With 4 on pace runners engaged, the prediction is a genuine pace and off pace runners having the advantage.

The Kewess should have the last crack at them and every chance to win this race. My price is $3.40, The Kewess done exactly that, Won, paying $5.30.

These type of races do exist, the value is there and if your analysis, comes up with 2 or 3 likely winners, then bet on them all, if the prices are as explained above.
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  #2  
Old 7th June 2022, 08:08 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Unstable
..... also skip races where there is a Odds on Fav, yes the Fav can get beaten, but do you really want to take that chance?


YES, sure do. Been making a living from it for more than 20 years.
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Old 8th June 2022, 08:09 AM
Unstable Unstable is offline
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Hi Mark,

I have no doubt, specializing in Odds on Fav, you could make money, not for me, I don't have that sort of money to make a living out of.

My example, was to show races, you can get value in. In the example, odds on Fav are not considered value runners and can be a risk, in my opinion.

We all know, the top 3 horses in the market, win around 83% of the time, my point was, find races with these horses in mind, with value.

I'm sure there are plenty of other systems out there, better then the one I have put up, you guy's have been around a long time and have tried many systems early on in your careers. I just thought I would put my 2 bobs worth in to contribute to the forum.

Thanks for replying Mark
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  #4  
Old 8th June 2022, 08:35 PM
Unstable Unstable is offline
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Just a quick Question, Is any member a Bet Selector user?
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  #5  
Old 9th June 2022, 06:40 PM
Mark Mark is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Unstable
Hi Mark,

I have no doubt, specializing in Odds on Fav, you could make money, not for me, I don't have that sort of money to make a living out of.


I don't specialise in Odds on favs, and didn't start with much of a bank. You don't need a lot of money or bet big to make an income.
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