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#1
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Equal Fav Question
Sometimes on screen we see 2 or 3 horses's prices either become Equal Favorites or close to being equal. They may jump around a bit one surpassing the other or what not.
Question is, how far apart number wise would be a general rule of thumb where it's EF or just off an EF race ? For example, if Horse 1 is showing 2.50 and Horse 2 is showing 2.80, that's 30 cents apart. One can assume they are "Equal Favorites" At what point can it not be regarded as EF's ? It can show sometimes to be the 3.80.s and 4.10's Percentages would be fine to if anyone uses percentages rather than plain numbers. Thanks |
#2
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I personally use the Fixed price Fav rather than the SP which can change even in running.
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#3
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its difficult to answer and is the archilles heal to a lot of post race systems that rely on the favourite being in or out of the selection filter.
i have seen tab odds change after the race has been decided. sure they say - "just back the favourite from an inside barrier that blah blah..." (un)fortunately its not that easy in practice. |
#4
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Yeap,
I think a short answer is Form, let one' own Form data/methods be a deciding factor rather than a horse being hyped into it. Or as Darky mentions, the Fixed odds. My thoughts to aussielongboat, archilles heal. or, skip the race all together. |
#5
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Pigeons I call em. If you research them over a long period, some unique properties are revealed, of the Edge kind. In my system it's <= $0.30.
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#6
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One thing I noticed.. where the Fav looks a bit like a 'floppy fish' and there are 2 pigeons standing next in line, similar result. Haven't got the stats to back it up - just observations here and there. Perhaps somebody else had spotted the dodgy kipper?
LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB Last edited by Lord Greystoke : 19th December 2013 at 07:31 PM. |
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