Hey guys,

here are the plays today for my 75% thing on my ratings that was discussed in the other thread. Note i'm just testing these and while I might be on some, i won't be betting on all. Ill post my top 2 raters for each race and any with YES written to them are plays.

Caulfield - Race 1

No.
5 A Time For Julia
1 Villa Splendido YES

Caulfield - Race 4

No.
3 Cameo
12 Summerbliss YES

Caulfield - Race 5

No.
4 Galah
5 King's Rose YES

Caulfield - Race 7

No.
5 Lightinthenite YES
12 Waterford Hill

Randwick - Race 2

No.
2 Magita YES
9 Secluded

Randwick - Race 3

No.
9 Moriarty
8 Merlin Mustang YES

Randwick - Race 4

No.
7 Snitsky
4 Upshot YES

Randwick - Race 5

No.
5 Jolie Bay YES
4 Ichihara YES

Eagle Farm - Race 7

No.
6 Transporter YES
2 Grey Assignment YES

Eagle Farm - Race 8

No.
11 Memorable Moment YES
14 Rodrigeuz

Morphettville - Race 3

No.
7 Le Roi YES
2 Ring Me Not

Ascot - Race 2

No.
2 Modello YES
4 Flag Officer YES

Ascot - Race 5

No.
3 Global Flirt YES
1 Ten Degrees

Ascot - Race 6

No.
5 Travinator YES
7 Watermans Bay YES

Ascot - Race 8

No.
2 Texan YES
13 Kerrific

Ascot - Race 9

No.
5 Iseethingsyoudon't YES
13 Jaja Saab

Are the YES ones the top raters ? ie what makes one selection a play out of the two ?

Thanks for posting these. Will be interesting to see how they go.

BTW off to a great start with Caulfield Race 1. Winner and 4th.

forgot to add this earlier:

Morphettville - Race 5

No.
8 Classy Chloe YES
4 The Eighth Maker

The selections have so far mostly been putting in a very good effort in most races. There has been 6 winners from 10 races so far.

Unfortunately the odds haven't been too great But still the strike rate is very good. Its close to breakeven on best tote by my figures.

had quite a few 2nds as well i think, i'll have to go back and check over them all carefully though.

At the start of this thread, you said that the idea of 75% plays was first discussed in another thread.

evajb could you please supply tthe link where the notion of 75% plays was first introduced. Thanking you and thanks for supplying your selections.

I can't remember what thread it was now but I can explain quickly.

Basically I do my ratings by applying a score to each horse, and using the scores I estimate my odds for each horse. Once i've got these odds I sort to find my top rated horse, 2nd rated and so on.

If the odds of my top rated horse are less than 75% of the 2nd rated horse, then its a play. If the 2nd rated horse is less than 75% of the 3rd rated horses odds, then the top 2 raters are a play.

I hope that makes sense, if not I can provide examples.

Its in the Quadrella thread but I can't remember the exact post.

It's in the following thread:

http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ead.php?t=25273

It starts off by looking at laying my bottom 3 rated horses but moves into a discussion of 75% plays.