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11/4/2015 edition

The Track Specialists Horse Racing Betting System

Often a horse can appear to be out of form or out of its class. Then it surprises and wins at $20.00 or $30.00. Where did that come from? A quick look at the formguide and you see it has five wins from 12 starts at the track and then you wonder why you never backed it!

Here is an interesting betting system for catching value winners that love the track they are racing on.

Here are the rules:

1. For each race list all the horses that have won at least three times at the track. (Two wins from no more than four starts is also acceptable.)

2. Now eliminate every horse that has a win strike rate below 25% at the track.

3. You now have your qualifying selections for each race.

4. If there is more than one qualifier in a race then back the horse with the best win strike rate at the track. For example, a horse with three wins from six starts at the track has a 50% win strike rate at the track and would be backed in preference to a horse with four wins from 10 starts at the track because that is a 40% win strike rate at the track.

5. Do avoid short prices.

6. If odds allow, you might choose to back more than one horse.

There are plenty of modifications you can make with this betting system. For example, you might include a rule covering strike rates at the distance.

Good luck.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Where is the best horse racing betting value?
The Free Track Specialists horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Derby & Doncaster Handicap - 6/4/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: H. E. Tancred Stakes & Storm Queen Stakes - 28/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Golden Slipper Stakes Day - 21/3/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/4/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 28/3/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 21/3/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 21/3/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

2014 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends


Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Reparations 31.00 44.60 $408
General Groove 21.00 24.90 $117
Antelucan 11.00 14.80 $114
Protectionist 8.00 8.60 $18
Atacama 5.50 6.10 $18
Hijack Hussy 10.50 11.00 $15
Mahara 5.60 6.00 $12
Risen From Doubt 7.80 8.10 $9
Precious Gem 5.70 6.00 $9
Grand Marshal 3.70 4.00 $9


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