12th August 2013, 06:42 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,366
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"Roughly 80% of horses bred for the track will have some sort of problem and never make it to an elite status," Seder said. "The history of science is that innovation is met with skepticism. I'm just taking science and playing probabilities, looking for those horses that, based on our data of gait and motion analysis, have a higher chance of making it."
Seder is truely a leader in his field, and his opinions and conclusions have been proven correct countless times. To put it plainly, it's an extremely expensive excercise to race a horse and the chances of success are odds of 4/1, which means that 80% of the time, owners are shelling out big money for no return.
Many good horses are not obvious performers by breeding, some of the cheapest horses have become champions. When owners and trainers are paying outrageous sums of money for well bred but untried yearlings and 2yo's, it can only be detrimental to the industry as a whole, because many owners disappear burnt.
My personal opinion is that breeding should be the last consideration!
Controversial I know, but one would be better off looking at horse conformation, gait, stride, and then look at the breeding.
Here's a picture of my grandfather in 1930 just before going to the races for a win at The Curragh.
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