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26/9/2003 edition

Horse Racing Betting Tips

Here are plenty of useful betting tips we have taken from the forum thread "Share Your Info" at http://www.propun.com.au/forums/viewtopic.php?topic=4269&forum=2&17
Thanks to the contributors:


Don't bet horses that have a series of failures. Don't look for reversals from this.

Good horses fresh and a reasonable price.

Most horses probably only have one or two good seasons. The further away from that good season the less likely the horse is to win.
(Betting tips from topsy99.)


I look for the horse that have done well recently but might have finished out of a place last start and therefor be at decent odds.

Young horses have the freshest legs.
(Betting tips from Dale.)


Don't chase the big odds runners unless you know what you are doing.

Don't dismiss short odds chances - there is more "value" there than you think.

In my experience it takes a lot less work (and a lot less stress) to make a profit out of horses under $3.00 than the ones over that price! It certainly is possible to make money out of the longer odds horses - but I have found it much easier and less stressful to concentrate on the favourites. You still need to do your analysis and work but it is easier to find the value. Also a 60% strike rate is better for the heart than a 15% strike rate!

Never rely on a loss chasing staking plan to make a profit.

Unless you have insider information (direct from a stable, not from some joker on Sky Racing!) then you have to assume that the market as a whole has much better information than you as an individual so if the market is pricing your selection at double your price then the market probably knows something you don't!

Making a profit out of horse racing takes a lot of time and work - if you aren't willing to put the work in then either accept that you will probably lose money or only break even OR don't bet at all! (Alternatively pay someone to do the work for you BUT be very careful about who you pay!)

And above all remember: "Be careful whose advice you buy, but be patient with those who supply it. Advice is a form of nostalgia. Dispensing it is a way of fishing the past from the disposal, wiping it off, painting over the ugly parts and recycling it for more than it's worth." Mary Schmich - from the song Everybody's Free to Wear Sunscreen (some very good advice in that song!)
(Betting tips from becareful.)
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse Racing betting tips
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 19/9/2003
Punt to Win index


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Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


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