Punt to Win

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7/2/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, February 1.

Flemington:
Trailer Trash - checked at 850
St. Martha - well back, leaders' track
Blessum - well back, leaders' track
Delago Brom - well back, searched for a run in the straight, leaders' track
Malu - well back, leaders' track
Old Man - held up early in the straight
Mr. Magoo - inside, wrong side of the straight
Spanish Symbol - badly held up in the straight

Rosehill:
Vetorisc - held up in the straight
National Saint - badly held up in the straight
Progress - held up early in the straight
Cheam - badly held up in the straight, eased down
Laguna Lake - went eight wide at the 200 for a run
Conair - held up early in the straight

Doomben:
Windy Kate - checked in the straight
Fetes Galantes - lost momentun home turn, early in the straight
Pedro's Power - badly held up in the straight
Pachinko - no clear run entire straight
Star Marquis - badly held up in the straight

Morphettville:
Shocks - wide run
Social Glow - badly held up in the straight, checked off heels
Telestich - wide run
Border Time - held up in the straight
Exalted Lad - shuffled back, searched for a run in the straight
Lady Knockout - held up in the straight
La Supremo - held up in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Flemington racetrack - biased track again
Damien Oliver - are his rides value bets on the tote?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 31/1/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Hand Pass 21.10 27.60 $650
Caramel Star 27.50 33.50 $600
Gordian Knot 15.80 21.50 $570


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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