Punt to Win
How do you know whether a track is going to show a certain bias? Does a particular track itself always show the same bias? Or does it depend on the day? For example, could I evaluate what the track bias is going to be tomorrow at Caulfied now or do you have to see a couple of races first?
The above question was posted in our Forum.
"...I think you might have been sucked into one of those numerous punting myths, not to mention every race commentators' catch cry (along with how an apprentice beat a seasoned rider to the line because of the 'weight', or vice versa because of 'experience'.).
...It is the PACE of the race that DICTATES the SHAPE of the RACE (and therefore, any "bias"). For example, if the pace setter sets an easy pace in each race of an eight card programme and the winner comes from the first one third of the 'pack', does that constitute a front running bias? Not on your nelly. On average, those horses in the first third of the field win 1.8 times MORE than back runners.
("Fast Eddy" posted the above excellent on the 27th. February. We have made a few minor editorial changes.)
This edition of Punt to Win:
Best Tote Odds?
|Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.|