|Horse racing and
Punt to Win
How do you know whether a track is going to show a certain bias? Does a particular track itself always show the same bias? Or does it depend on the day? For example, could I evaluate what the track bias is going to be tomorrow at Caulfied now or do you have to see a couple of races first?
The above question was posted in our Forum.
"...I think you might have been sucked into one of those numerous punting myths, not to mention every race commentators' catch cry (along with how an apprentice beat a seasoned rider to the line because of the 'weight', or vice versa because of 'experience'.).
...It is the PACE of the race that DICTATES the SHAPE of the RACE (and therefore, any "bias"). For example, if the pace setter sets an easy pace in each race of an eight card programme and the winner comes from the first one third of the 'pack', does that constitute a front running bias? Not on your nelly. On average, those horses in the first third of the field win 1.8 times MORE than back runners.
("Fast Eddy" posted the above excellent on the 27th. February. We have made a few minor editorial changes.)
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