Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

17/10/2003 edition

Horse Racing Track Bias Hysteria

Blaming track bias for losing bets and horses being unable to win is rapidly replacing blaming jockeys for poor rides. Punters have latched on to the racing media track bias paranoia. For example media tipsters make proviso tips like, "If the track favours leaders it should win," and "If horses can run on it'll win."

Then there are the racing media journalists, who on the basis of even just one race, start to enthusiastically squawk "track bias". You could just imagine a parrot squawking, "Track bias, track bias, squawk, squawk, can't run on, can't run on, track bias, track bias, squawk, squawk!"

When Our Eden led throughout to win the first race at Caulfield last Saturday you should have heard the mutterings on Sky Racing about a biased leaders' track. Then when Regal Roller led throughout to win the second race what was there left to say?

In the Herald Sun, Monday, October 13, 2003, racing journalist Michael Manley wrote:

"Don't undersell the effort of champion sprinting mare Spinning Hill in finishing third in the Group 2 Schillaci Stakes (1000m) at Caulfield on Saturday.
She wasn't suited by the track bias and had to go wide on a shifting track.
Spinning Hill gave away too big a start but exploded over the last 400m, which she ran in 22.20sec, quickest for the meeting..."

It's amazing how so many people don't appear to see or analyse what actually happens. The pace of a race is very relevant. Michael Manley has probably refuted his own track bias claim theory himself by pointing out how Spinning Hill "exploded over the last 400m".

Spinning Hill simply got too far back. The fact that she was able to run the fastest time of the meeting out wide showed there was no bias; it demonstrated that horses could run on from out wide and that horses did not need to be hard up against the rails.

Where was the track bias when Lonhro settled well back in the field, skirted wide round the home turn and went away for an easy win? Or for that matter the win of Yakama which settled last?

There was no track bias at Caulfield.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield Guineas Day/Melbourne Cup Carnival betting tips
Caulfield Guineas Day - was it a biased track?
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/10/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.