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17/10/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Caulfield on Saturday, October 11.

Rosehill:
Skittles - worked hard early wide
Main Beach - wide run
Bella Sunday - badly held up in the straight
Road To Dance - badly held up in the straight
Sin Trail - attacked in the lead
Back In Style - inconvenienced at the 600, held up near the line
Ashworth - knuckled on jumping away
This Manshood - checked early in the straight

Caulfield:
Transact - checked home turn, held up in the straight
Circumnavigating - checked home turn
Regrowth - held up rounding the home turn
Beautiful Gem - searched for a run early in the straight
Lago Delight - badly checked at the 1400
Kepinsky - inconvenienced at the 1400, checked off heels early in the straight
Archave - badly checked at the 200
Titanic Jack - badly held up in the straight
Tru Glo - held up home turn, no clear run in the straight
Natural Blitz - held up rounding the home turn
Brief Embrace - held up rounding the home turn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield Guineas Day/Melbourne Cup Carnival betting tips
Caulfield Guineas Day - was it a biased track?
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/10/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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