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22/2/2002 edition

Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 ( 3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Caulfield, Saturday, 16th. February 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Finish Beaten margin
 
Innovation Girl 2.00 1.80 5.56 2/7 short head
Damien Oliver Brian Mayfield-Smith
 
Keltic Verse 4.20 3.50 5.04 10/12 8.4 lengths
Glen Boss David Hall
 
It's Platonic 6.00 4.60 5.55 3/12 1.1 lengths
Kerrin McEvoy Graham Richardson
 

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Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.
Look at the table below and see the percentages lost backing short priced tote favourites compared with the top official bookmaker betting ring prices.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners recently?
If you did, see the minimum prices you should have received.
Make sure you do!

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
Honey Rider 4.20 6.00 56% $180
Glenn 4.00 5.50 50% $150
Barkada 4.70 6.00 35% $130
Ha Ha 2.10 2.60 46% $50


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Regicide 22.40 36.00 $1360
Kaapgun
21.00
27.80
$680
Youhadyourwarning
20.80
27.20
$640
Noble Win 11.40 14.20 $280


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