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1/3/2002 edition

Carnival Racing Betting Odds

Carnival betting odds

2. In the 1200 metres Group 3 Liverpool City Cup at Warwick Farm. Phoenix Park was sent out the short $4.20 favourite in this open 14 horse race that we thought should be at least $8.00 the field.

It does not require much skill to see a formguide and read that Phoenix Park had won three of four first up starts. Unfortunately, when betting on horses, if you use information that is so obvious noone can miss it you will get poor betting odds.

Phoenix Park also finished last.


Carnival betting odds

3. In the Group 2 Angus Armanasco Stakes at Caulfield over 1600 metres for three year old fillies the Freedman - Oliver combination again proved fatal for punters who took big unders on Moon Dragon.

Moon Dragon's bad luck at her previous start was well documented and at Caulfield she was sent out the short $3.00 favourite (even shorter on the tote).

While there were only 12 runners in the race there were at least six very evenly matched strong winning chances.

Elegant Fashion also had bad luck in the same race as Moon Dragon and also finished a length in front of Moon Dragon in that race. The $9.00 bet on Elegant Fashion was far better value than $3.00 for Moon Dragon.

Elegant Fashion won on Saturday.

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Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Regicide 22.40 36.00 $1360
Sudurka 29.40 34.30 $490
Swiss Echo
13.10
17.70
$460
Dynamic Reason
13.20
15.50
$230


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