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2/5/2003 edition

Quick Betting Tips

John Hawkes

The Hawkes' Stable did it again last Saturday. Another successful state switch. Desert Sashay won the first race at Randwick with $14.00 bet. The 6YO gelding's previous eight starts were in Queensland.

Mind you, Desert Sashay had only one win and one second from 14 starts over 1400 metres, the distance of Saturday's race. That lone win was at his last start, 13 days earlier.

"I don't like Cognac Trader"

That's what we heard from a media tipster. What was the reason given? That you should ignore his previous run in the $2,400,000 Doncaster Handicap because he had a soft run.We're not aware that horses get soft runs in a big field in a two million dollars race.

Cognac Trader was backed from $4.80 to $3.70 at Randwick and won.

"It's a pity about the sratchings"

That's what we were told by a tipster about the Moonee Valley meeting. Why? Because we were told bigger fields make the racing more interesting and give you "better value".

Again incorrect.

Do the totes reduce their percentage cut for bigger fields? No. Do the bookmakers bet to markets closer to 100% for bigger fields? No. If anything, they bet to higher percentages.

Bigger fields make winners harder to select. Now that cannot possibly be "better value".

This edition of Punt to Win:
Brisbane bookmaker Carnival betting odds
Betting tips and comment
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 25/4/2003
Punt to Win index

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