2/7/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from last Saturday, June 26.

Warwick Farm: Track Good
R1 $45,000 3YO and upward Fillies and Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Wild Queen
Result: third
Starting price: $1.45
Top fluctuation: $1.50
Jockey: Danny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Valda Merceda
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.00
Jockey: Mitchell Bell
Trainer: Ron Quinton

Moonee Valley: Track Heavy
R2 $40,000 Open. Handicap..
Distance: 2500 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Beswinging
Result: first
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Anthony Darmanin
Trainer: Louise Bonella

This edition of Punt to Win:
Gai Waterhouse - betting the "good things"
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Warwick Farm, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 25/6/2004
Punt to Win index

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