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7/5/2004 edition

Wet Track Betting Tips

Minimising risks is all important

Let's have a look at the Caulfield meeting last Saturday, where the horse racing was held on a genuinely Heavy track.

R1 2YO Open. Handicap. 1200 metres.
$3.20 favourite Cargo Cult finished second, beaten 1.8 lengths. No wet track form. The $5.00 winner Classiconi also had no wet track form.

R2 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$4.20 favourite Songs Of Vienna finished a well beaten fifth. She had one win from two starts on a Heavy track - a Moe maiden. She was unplaced in her only Slow track run. $4.40 second favourite Andiamo won. This lightly raced filly had raced once on a rain affected track, a Heavy track for a close second, four lengths ahead of the next runner.

R3 3YO Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$2.25 favourite Valedictum finished a well beaten sixth. He had never raced on a Slow track. The gelding had a Bendigo maiden win as his only race result on a Heavy track. The $13.00 winner Jakodae was first up from a spell. He had never raced on a track worse than Dead in his four starts.

R4 Open. Handicap. 1400 metres.
$4.00 favourite Hardy Steele finished second. He had won his only start on a Heavy track - a Saturday city meeting, and had a win and a third from his two starts on Slow tracks. The $7.00 winner, Studebaker, was first up. He had never raced on a track worse than Dead in his 10 starts.

R5 Open. Handicap. 1200 metres.
$4.40 equal favourite Cahuita won. He had never raced on a Heavy rated track, but did have two wins from four starts on Slow tracks. The other $4.40 equal favourite, Blessum, finished a well beaten seventh. In 25 previous starts this 5YO gelding had only raced once on a Heavy track and was unplaced. Blessum had also raced three times on Slow tracks for a city win and a third.

R6 Open. Handicap. 1700 metres.
$4.20 favourite Walk On Ice finished a well beaten 10/11. The 7YO gelding had six wins and three placings from 12 Heavy track starts. The $6.50 winner Wild Classic, had a win and a second from two Heavy track starts. However the win was a Colac Class 4. The gelding also had three wins and two placings on Slow tracks including a city win at Sandown.

R7 Open. Handicap. 2020 metres.
$4.00 favourite Action Shot finished a well beaten 10/11. This 3YO gelding had only one win to his credit from nine starts. That was in July last year - a 2YO Open at Flemington by 3.5 lengths on a Slow track. He had raced twice on Heavy tracks for an unplaced run and a well beaten third in a Ballarat maiden.The $11.00 winner, 4YO gelding Schumpeter, in his 26 starts had never raced on a Heavy rated track. From three starts on Slow tracks he had a Sandown win back in 2002 and a second. How do you possibly select him?

R8 Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap. 1600 metres.
$4.20 favouriteHarley Ma had raced twice on Heavy tracks for two seconds. However her most recent second in August last year was more than two lengths behind the winner in a Sandown midweek 3YO fillies open. The $4.60 winner Bella Vichy, had the poor strike rated of just four wins from 28 starts. But she had won her only start on a Heavy track - six days earlier in a good quality mares race at Flemington.

What conclusions can we draw?
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Wet track betting tips
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 30/4/2004
Punt to Win index

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Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
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Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
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