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8/11/2002 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, November 2.

Flemington:
Salgado - held up for a run
Blur - checked out of race
Hosannah - held up entire straight
Lashed - wide run
Homecoming Queen - badly held up in the straight
Stormy's Son - badly held up in the straight plus checked out of the race
Charlie Bub - held up for a run
Natural Blitz - held up for a run plus inconvenienced at 250

Rosehill:
Uniforms - wide run
Domielle - wide run
Masked - held up for a run
Gladiada - badly held up in the straight
It's Our Time - held up for a run
Quest For Success - wide run plus inconvenienced at 650
Jewel Attraction - badly held up in the straight, hard held on line
Grand Estime - held up entire straight

Doomben:
Valkyrian - wide run
Thunder Hawk - wide run
Western Brace - worked hard from barrier, set fast pace
Timber Tycoon - held up for a run
Wishart - well back, very wide run

Morphettville:
Frenzel Rhomb - held up for a run
Damselac Warrior - badly held up in the straight
Shanghai Moon - held up for a run plus checked off heels
King Crow - inconvenienced
Marcin On - no clear run entire straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Damien Oliver wins Melbourne Cup
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington plunge horses
Money talks - Doomben plunge horses
Money talks - Morphettville plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 5/11/2002
Punt to Win index


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Horse

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Cosmic Rays 16.50 23.10 $660
Kesia 13.20 16.00 $280
Britt's Best 8.10 10.20 $210


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

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