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11/6/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from last Saturday, June 5.

Rosehill: Track Good
R2 $50,000 2YO Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Great Desert
Result: fourth
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
Jockey: Dale Spriggs
Trainer: Jack Denham
Winner: All Bar One
Starting price: $14.00
Top fluctuation: $16.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $16.60
Jockey: Ronnie Stewart
Trainer: Gillian Heinrich

Sandown Lakeside: Track Dead
R2 $40,000 2YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Not That Innocent
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.45
Top fluctuation: $2.50
Jockey: Stephen Baster
Trainer: John Salanitri
Winner: Miss Drawcard
Starting price: $6.50
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.30
Jockey: Luke Currie
Trainer: Robbie Griffiths

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting tips - wide barriers
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown Lakeside betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/6/2004
Punt to Win index


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If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

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