14/11/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, November 8.

Randwick: Track Good
R1 $45,000 3YO Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: four
Favourite: Yes Boss
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: neck
Starting price: $1.90
Top fluctation: $2.25
Tote dividends' range: $1.70 - $1.80
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R2 $20,000 4YO and upwards. Sc0ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Ominous
Result: fifth
Winning/losing margin: 2.6 lengths
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctation: $3.00
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Sharp Enough
Winning/losing margin: 1 length
Starting price: $8.50
Top fluctation: $11.00
Tote dividends' range: $9.40 - $10.60
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

Doomben: Track Good
R1 $28,000 2YO Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1110 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Kengrande
Result: second
Winning/losing margin: 2 lengths
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctation: $2.80
Jockey: Justin P Stanley
Trainer: John Zielke
Winner: Birthday Bash
Winning/losing margin: 1 length
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctation: $3.70
Tote dividends' range: $3.70 - $3.80
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: Alan Bailey

Morphettville: Track Good
R1 $20,000 3YO and upwards. Rs1mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: French Belle
Result: second
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctation: $2.60
Jockey: Joe Bowditch
Trainer: David Jolly
Winner: Miss Suzi Que
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctation: $2.70
Tote dividends' range: $2.10 - $2.80
Jockey: Ben Claridge
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

R3 $24,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Equal Favourite: Starhere
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.8 lengths
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctation: $2.60
Tote dividends' range: $2.60 - $2.70
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Equal Favourite: Zedimbi
Winning/losing margin: 3.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctation: $3.00
Jockey: Chris Bryant
Trainer: Barry Dunn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Will punters be rewarded?
Horseracing betting tips and gambling strategy
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 7/11/2003
Punt to Win index

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