Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

Betting systems software

Racing tips and info
Betting links
Other info

 

 

15/10/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from last Saturday, October 9.

Rosehill: Track Good
R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Ping Ming
Result: seventh
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctuation: $1.70
Jockey: Brad Pengelly
Trainer: Gerald Ryan
Winner: Vigoria
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $14.90
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: Ian Finn

R6 $50,000 3YO and upward. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Red Oog
Result: first
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Joseph Pride

Caulfield: Track Good
R4 $200,000 Group 2. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Regimental Gal
Result: third
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.80
Jockey: Steven King
Trainer: Shaun Dwyer
Winner: Patpong
Starting price: $17.00
Top fluctuation: $17.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $14.20
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Tony Wildman

Cheltenham: Track Good
R1 $20,000 3YO Fillies. Rs1mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Aerated
Result: first
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.10
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.90
Jockey: Joe Bowditch
Trainer: Bill Bogarts

This edition of Punt to Win:
Will Starcraft win the Cox Plate?
Get those betting odds
Betting tips for 2YO races
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 8/10/2004
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.

Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.
 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.