Punt to Win

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16/5/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, May 10.

Rosehill:
Seances - searched for a run in the straight
Century Kid - wide run
Polygram - badly held up in the straight
She's Swan Lake - badly checked at the 1000
Southern Rose - checked off heels at the 500
Nesnas - inconvenienced at the jump
Emerging Star - inconvenienced at the 200
Gabfest - checked shortly after the start
Arrabeea - checked of heels at the entrance to the straight
Orthopeadic - missed the start

Moonee Valley:
Gazania - missed the start, wide, should have won
Kalashani Star - searched for a run in the straight
Caramel Corn - held up rounding the home turn and in the straight
Cooke Street - tightened after the start, held up at the 100
St. Christoph - held up on the home turn, searched for a run in the straight
Malu - no clear run around the home turn

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betfair betting exchange braces for a fight
Gold Coast bookmaker betting odds
It can't win because of the barrier - it's a betting myth
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Gold Coast betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 9/5/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750
Hammerbeam 27.30 24.20 $690
Hand Pass 21.10 27.60 $650


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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