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18/5/2001 edition

Horse Racing Betting Tips

Huge weight rise, dangerous bet

This may be starting to sound repetitive. But it happens every week. Punters consistently take short odds on horses rising substantially in weight because they "have the class". The weight rise is designed to precisely stop them having the class!

In a 2400 metres restricted race at Randwick Recall was backed in from the terrible odds of $2.25 to the even more terrible odds of $2.10 favourite on the back of his excellent second a week earlier in a Listed race over the same distance.

He travelled comfortably enough in the lead despite being mildly pressured a little by Ears Ronny. Recall was gone by the home turn and finished a miserable ninth, beaten by 10 lengths. He pulled up with mild respiratory distress. He rose in weight from 52kg. to 58kg. He did not like it.

When questioned by stewards trainer Gai Waterhouse said Recall was not suited by the tempo of the race, particularly with his big weight of 58kg. That says it all.

New South Wales trifecta dividends - help!

Talking about the seventh at Adelaide have a look at the trifecta dividends:
Queensland TAB $3178
SuperTab, Victoria $2837
TAB Limited, New South Wales $1292

Of course the big dividends will not always be the lowest on the New South Wales tote. But with their introduction of "Flexi Bet" the trend is quite clear. We are keeping a look out and discussed this in detail in an earlier Punt to Win.

Another way to lose your money

In the last at Doomben, a 3YO Fillies Quality Handicap over 2020 metres, the classy Fetes Galantes was sent out at $7.00, the minimum odds you might consider taking. She started from barrier 11, had to lug 58.5kg. and was travelling over the distance for the first time.

At the 1000 she was travelling comfortably in the lead when the saddle shifted badly. That was the end of the race for her as she dropped back through the field. She was beaten by 45 lengths. Ignore it!

Amazing form reversal

How do you catch the John Size trained Stormy Mo in the last at Randwick? One week earlier he started at $9.00 and finished last, beaten by over 30 lengths. When questioned by the stewards, Brian York said the horse did not handle the Slow track at any stage. A vet's examination did not reveal anything wrong.

Stormy Mo backed up the next week at Randwick on a Dead track. His record on Dead going was also poor, one third, on March 18 this year, from seven starts. He started at $10.00 from barrier 11, settled well back in the field, wide throughout and finished nicely down the outside of the straight to win.

Next: Punt to Win 11/5/2001
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Top Odds Are Important

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners last week?
If you did, see the prices you should have got.


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
Firm 4.90 11.00 154% $610
Intelligent Star 7.20 8.50 21% $130
Haunting Spirit 3.40 4.60 50% $120
British Buska 2.90 3.80 47% $90
Falvelon 3.80 4.60 29% $80
Kashcrop 2.00 2.80 80% $80
Altiero 3.50 4.20 28% $70
Flying Visit 2.30 3.00 54% $70
Palm Flyer 3.50 4.20 28% $70
Evans Advantage 2.20 2.80 67% $60

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