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19/10/2001 edition

Caulfield
Thousand Guineas Day
Bookies' Benefit Meeting

The midweek meeting held at Caulfield Wednesday this week was a horrible betting meeting. Most punters got wiped out.

There were two 900 metres Listed races for two year olds, each worth $75,000. The first of the two, a nine horse race for colts and geldings had seven first starters and was won by Undenied who paid $19.00. The fillies race had 15 runners, with 14 of them first starters. Brief Embrace who paid $10.80 won the race, though Queensland tote punters took a nonsensical $6.40. (More about that on a following page).

We followed up with a $40,000 three year old restricted race over 1600 metres. Only 12 runners in the field, but it was wide open. Mr. Trickster $16.10 won. Next came a typically difficult betting race, a 1600 metres Spring Country Cup worth $60,000. 13 runners, inconsistent form and it was no surprise when punters got it badly wrong and Small Spoils $31.90 ridden by Andrew Findlay won. It was the six year old gelding's seventh win from 43 starts.

Next came the main "attraction" of the day, the $500,000 Group 1 Thousand Guineas over 1600 metres for three year old fillies. It was an open race. While a few fillies clearly looked superior, there were plenty of strong form lines for just about every filly in the race.

Ha Ha, trained by Gai Waterhouse and ridden by Jim Cassidy, had barrier 14, the widest in the field. That didn't stop punters sending her out as $3.00 favourite, way under the odds. She finished second. Magical Miss won at $15.50.

Next race on the menu was a very ordinary 1600 metres Mares Open, with 15 runners and worth $40,000. Not surprisingly another wipeout when Piper Star won at $17.50.

Race seven on the smorgasbord of punting delights was a restricted welter over 1200 metres, also worth $40,000. Punters finally got a few crumbs back when Prince Rubiton won starting at the short odds of $2.80 in this big 16 horse field.

The eighth race of the day, dessert for the bookies, was a very ordinary restricted handicap over 2000 metres, also worth $40,000. Punters who backed the $5.00 favourite Mr. Lofty lost their money when the four year old gelding fell. The A Train who started at $8.00 won. He may have provided relief for some punters who supported him because Damien Oliver had the ride.

When meetings are very tough, when races are absolute raffles, there is no point taking up the challenge. Odds are stacked against all punters. The smart course of action is to leave everything alone. If you must have a bet, then bet very, very small and avoid short odds about every horse, no matter how much money comes for them.

Next pages
Future winners at big odds
Eliminate risks - bet for value
Tote punters get more for your punting dollar

What a racing media blooper!
Beware - media hyped jockeys cost punters money
Why bet in this race?
Was this the worst bet of the day?
Another Gai Waterhouse trained favourite
And more...

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Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.
Look at the table below and see the percentages lost backing short priced tote favourites compared with bookmaker betting ring prices.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners recently?
If you did, see the prices you should have got.

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
Comhere 4.20 6.50 105% $230
Lonhro 4.70 7.00 85% $230
Guide 5.20 7.00 43% $180
Magic Feather 3.30 4.60 57% $130
Paris Heartbeat 4.40 5.50 32% $110
Newquay 2.10 3.00 82% $90
Patterns 3.20 4.00 36% $80
Salgado 2.30 2.90 46% $60
Dynamic Dancer 2.40 3.00 43% $60

Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Boogie Knight 36.90 42.50 $560
Close To Danger 20.50 25.20 $470
Show A Heart 13.00 17.60 $460
Elathea 13.60 17.10 $350
Our Eeyore 19.80 23.30 $350
Mistegic 13.40 16.80 $340
Freemason 12.10 14.40 $230


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