Pro-Punter Australia Horse Racing Weight Handicapping Betting Odds Tips

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a starting price of $11.00 or shorter - fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Randwick Inner 14/2/2004
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Deerhill	59.5kg.	7	1800	$7.00	3/8
Flemington 14/2/2004
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Yakama	62kg.	8	1600	$10.00	5/8
Doomben 14/2/2004
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Koochie	59kg.	4	1010	$6.00 eq fav	7/11
Ta Ta Tatiana	59kg.	8	1200	$6.00	6/9

Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites
These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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