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26/12/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Rosehill and Flemington on Saturday, December 20.

Randwick:
Best French - overraced, wide run
Bella Sunday - wide run
Carael Boy - worked to get a position from barrier 20
Mufti - wide run
Jeremiad - wide run
This Manshood - checked at the 200
Gullcatcher - held up in the straight
Architrave - wide run

Flemington:
Shady Brady - checked at the 100
Blue Ribbons - checked off heels at 1400, nearly fell at the 1200
Certain Something - checked at the 300
Subella - wide run
Written Journey - checked at the 200
Demerger - badly checked on the home turn, should have won

This edition of Punt to Win:
TAB takeover battle/betting exchanges
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick, Flemington betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 19/12/2003
Punt to Win index


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Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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