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29/6/2013 edition

Horse Racing Form Analysis

Identifying False Favourites.

As laying horses on Betfair is a very popular form of wagering, being able to consistently identify false favourites can make punters a lot of money.

So let's have a look at an example of a false favourite from Saturday, 8th. June, 2013.

3YO filly Coins was sent out a short priced $3.60 favourite in a 3YO Fillies Rating 78 Handicap at Flemington over 1400 metres. Coins was a poor bet at the odds and clearly a false favourite. Consider these points:

1. Coius was dropping back in distance from 1600 metres to 1400 metres - always a tough ask.

2. Coins had a very average winning strike rate - just 2 wins from 14 race starts.

3. Coins was asked to carry the top weight of 59.5kg. That is a tough ask for a 3YO filly.

4. In addition this was a rise of 3.5kg. from Coins previous start, an unplaced fifth over 1600 metres.

5. Coins never got into the race and finished eleventh in the field of 13, beaten by 6 lengths.

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$9.50 winner on Saturday, 1st. June!

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This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing form analysis - identifying false favourites
The best new clients wagering packages - NAME YOUR bookie or betting agency!!
The Free Surprise Winners horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 22/6/2013 & 15/6/2013
Group 1 horse racing results: 8/6/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/6/2013

Betting favourites in small fields: 15/6/2013 & 8/6/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 8/6/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

2012 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends


Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Koonoomoo 22.70 31.00 $249
Kasane 26.00 28.70 $81
Green Moon 20.00 22.50 $75
Mahisara 10.20 12.40 $66
Walk With Attitude 6.50 8.50 $60
Verdant 6.60 7.50 $27
Eclair Surprise 9.50 10.30 $24
Villa Verde 3.00 3.80 $24
Genteel 3.70 4.00 $9
Unpretentious 3.90 4.20 $9


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