30/4/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, April 24.

Randwick: Track Good
R1 $45,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Al Maher
Result: first
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctation: $1.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.40
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R3 $100,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: National Treasure
Result: first
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tote betting odds in small fields
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 23/4/2004
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

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