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30/11/2001 edition

Eagle Farm
Huge Form Meeting

Just look at the results from Eagle Farm last Saturday. It was a huge meeting for classy winners and some outstanding beaten runs. There will be plenty of future winners to come out of this meeting.

Race one - 2YO Fillies. Open. Handicap. 1000 metres.
Sandasta, having her first race, missed the start by five lengths. Well back at the home turn she flew home to win in the very smart time of 57.90 seconds.

Race two - Rest. 1 Metro. Win. Handicap. 1800 metres.
Lightly raced three year old colt Another Warrior, out of the ill-fated sire Brave Warrior, treated the older horses with contempt and won by eight lengths in class record time and only one tenth of a second outside the track record. His previous start was a maiden win by seven lengths at the track over a similar distance. Another Warrior has only raced six times and is a very classy stayer in the making.

Race three - 3YO Class 6. Handicap. 1300 metres.
Won easily by the John Hawkes trained filly Harveynicks. She also ran very fast time, only four tenths of a second outside outstanding Group winner Hareeba's track record.

Race four - Rest. 0 Metro. Wins. Handicap. 1400 metres.
Won by the least credentialled of the day's winners, but four year old gelding Sammy has now had 10 starts for two wins and an amazing eight seconds!

Race five - Class 6. Handicap. 1600 metres.
A huge win on protest by the Bruce McLachlan trained four year old gelding Raw Instinct. It was his fifth win from 10 starts. Also only four fifths of a second outside the track record. The closest of seconds was very promising three year old gelding Cumbria who has only had five starts, was sent out the very short priced $1.65 favourite, raced greenly when he loomed up to win and caused interference to Raw Instinct. Cumbria beat the next horse home by nearly five lengths. Always a good form line for a beaten horse.

Race six - Group 3. Handicap. 3200 metres.
The four year old Jack Denham trained horse, Gillespie certainly can stay. Two starts back he won a 2100 metres Class 6 at Warwick Farm by 10 lengths. While he didn't beat much at Eagle Farm he won in a canter by nine lengths. Look for him in the Cup races next year.

Race seven - Open. Handicap. 1200 metres.
Won very well by quality four year old gelding Clay Shaker who carried 56kg. and had to work hard early from barrier 10. It was his tenth win from 18 starts. The John Hawkes trained Aggravation (seven wins from 17 starts) put in a big run second up for second while injury plagued seven year old gelding Prince Hakeem (11 wins from 24 starts) resumed from a six months' spell, had absolutely no luck in the straight and finished third.

Race eight - Rest. 1 Metro. Win-Ly. Handicap. 1400 metres.
Starting from barrier nine, carrying 57.5kg. The London Banker worked early to lead and won well. That was his second run back from a seven months' spell after a bleeding attack. If all stays well this five year old gelding will only get better. He has eight wins from 14 races. Second was Eric who had a huge formline behind the very smart Bridal Hill the start before (beaten half a length) and confirmed the form with another strong run.

The quality of the Eagle Farm meeting makes the nonsense served up last Saturday at the Randwick Inner track even more odious and a slight on those responsible for the programming? Why for example are there no three year old fillies' races?

The best race of the day at Randwick was a nine horse Welter over 1300 metres. Note that, not an Open handicap, but a Welter. There was a motley collection of very ordinary restricted races commencing with seven runners in a restricted two year old fillies event over 870 metres. That race was followed up with fields of six, seven, seven and again seven runners. Hardly attractive betting affairs. Useless for trifectas. Bring on the greyhounds!

Next pages
Northerly - an even money winning chance?
How to back winners at the Randwick Inner track
First starters - money does not talk
Future winners at big odds
And more...
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Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.
Look at the table below and see the percentages lost backing short priced tote favourites compared with bookmaker betting ring prices.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners recently?
If you did, see the prices you should have got.

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
The London Banker 4.80 8.00 84% $320
Accuse 3.90 7.00 107% $310
Suzy Grey 3.10 4.80 81% $170
Fields Of Omagh 4.60 6.00 39% $140
Air War 3.10 4.00 43% $90
Victory Vein 1.70 2.25 79% $55

Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
My Sky Rocket 28.60 40.10 $1150
British Lion 31.30 36.60 $530
Dark Banner 11.20 15.00 $380
Bogart 15.90 18.90 $300


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