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28/8/2010 edition
Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

Sportsbet Australia - the number one internet horse racing & sports betting bookmaker!
We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class,"
to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly
we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above
the minimum."
Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how
handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse
will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.
In a handicap, by the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety
vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly
with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.
The table below shows how horses
that carried 59kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting
ring market - with a starting price of $11.00 or shorter - recently fared. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.)
We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information
over the long term.
Warwick Farm - 21/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Gergis |
60.5kg. |
7 |
1600 |
$5.50 |
5/10 |
Moonee Valley - 21/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Cameo Minx |
59kg. |
5 |
2040 |
$3.80fav. |
8/10 |
Doomben - 21/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Forestreno |
59kg. |
1 |
1200 |
$4.40 |
1/8 |
Morphettville - 21/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Swift Bay |
59.5kg. |
2 |
1200 |
$8.00 |
11/11 |
Rosehill - 14/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Centennial Park |
59kg. |
4 |
1100 |
$4.80 |
2/5 |
Morphettville - 14/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Maestro Of Murano |
59kg. |
9 |
2006 |
$8.00 |
2/9 |
Silky Smooth |
60kg. |
10 |
1600 |
$9.00 |
10/15 |
Randwick - 7/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Kudeta |
59.5kg. |
1 |
1300 |
$8.00 |
3/12 |
Flemington - 7/8/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Perturbo |
59kg. |
10 |
1000 |
$4.60fav. |
8/13 |
Galbraith |
59kg. |
4 |
1000 |
$10.00 |
10/13 |
Caulfield - 31/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Stoneblack |
59kg. |
2 |
1800 |
$8.00 |
8/16 |
Randwick - 24/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Geared Up |
59.5kg. |
5 |
1000 |
$7.00 |
3/7 |
Moonee Valley - 24/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Pinnacles |
60kg. |
1 |
1514 |
$7.00 |
5/13 |
Morphettville - 24/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Likable Will |
59.5kg. |
2 |
1000 |
$8.00 |
4/10 |
Verco Road |
59kg. |
6 |
1400 |
$4.00fav. |
5/14 |
Caulfield - 17/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Stoneblack |
59kg. |
4 |
2000 |
$5.50 |
6/11 |
Jungle Ruler |
59kg. |
3 |
1400 |
$10.00 |
8/11 |
Morphettville - 17/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Golden Snip |
59kg. |
6 |
1200 |
$6.00 |
2/8 |
Randwick - 10/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Offhanded |
60kg. |
4 |
1200 |
$1.75fav. |
2/4 |
Daytona Beach |
59kg. |
8 |
1600 |
$5.50 |
1/10 |
Flemington - 10/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Mont Fleuri |
59kg. |
5 |
1600 |
$7.00 |
2/13 |
Eagle Farm - 10/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Firebolt |
59kg. |
9 |
1800 |
$2.40fav. |
1/14 |
Moonee Valley - 3/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
Spirited Eagle |
59kg. |
7 |
1200 |
$2.90fav. |
1/10 |
Stoneblack |
59kg. |
4 |
2040 |
$3.50fav. |
1/8 |
Sunshine Coast - 3/7/2010 |
Horse |
Weight |
Barrier |
Distance |
SP Odds |
Finish |
King Mufhasa |
60kg. |
7 |
1400 |
$7.00 |
3/12 |
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Win betting - horse racing favourites: 21/8/2010
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Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 21/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 14/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/8/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 7/8/2010
Punt to Win
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