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2/5/2015 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Randwick on Saturday, 11th. April, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Randwick: Track Heavy R1 - R5, Soft R6 - R10.

R6: $1,000,000 Australian Oaks. Group 1. 3YO. Fillies. Set weights.
Distance: 2400 metres.
Field size: 10
Winner: Gust Of Wind
Jockey: Tye Angland
Trainer: John Sargent
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $17.00
Bookmaker starting price: $17.00
Best tote: $20.60
Second: Winx - beaten by 2.5 lengths
Jockey: Joao Moreira
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $2.80 favourite

R7: $1,000,000 Queen Of The Turf Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Fillies and mares. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 15
Winner: Amanpour
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $21.00
Bookmaker starting price: $21.00
Best tote: $20.20
Second: Catkins - beaten by 1.8 lengths
Jockey: Joao Moreira
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $4.00
Favourite: First Seal
Finish: 6th.
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John P. Thompson
Bookmaker starting price: $3.50 favourite

R8: $1,600,000 Sydney Cup. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Handicap.
Distance: 3200 metres.
Field size: 11
Winner: Grand Marshal
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $61.00
Bookmaker starting price: $41.00
Best tote: $30.10
Second: Who Shot Thebarman - beaten by 0.1 lengths
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $8.50
Favourite: Hartnell
Finish: 4th.
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker starting price: $1.65 favourite

R9: $4,000,000 Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 2000 metres.
Field size: 12
Winner: Criterion
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: David Hayes & Tom Dabernig
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $5.00
Bookmaker starting price: $5.00
Best tote: $5.30
Second: Red Cadeaux - beaten by 2.5 lengths
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Bookmaker starting price: $21.00
Favourite: To The World
Finish: 12th.
Jockey: Zac Purton
Trainer: Yasutoshi Ikee
Bookmaker starting price: $3.90 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting myths
The Free Prize Money horse racing betting system

The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: All Aged Stakes & Champagne Stakes - 18/4/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Queen Elizabeth Stakes Day - 11/4/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 25/4/2015 & 18/4/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 11/4/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 11/4/2015

Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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