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11/4/2015 edition

Where is the Best Horse Racing Betting Value?

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Where is the best betting value?

Is it found with short priced horses or longshots?

Believe it or not, horses at the shorter end of the betting market offer better value than longer priced horses. Put simply, horses at $2.00 win closer to 50% of the time compared to horses at $4.00 winning 25% of the time. But horses at $4.00 win closer to 25% of the time than say horses at $10.00 winning 10% of the time.

There is a favourite-longshot bias in the betting market odds and it exists in horse racing markets worldwide. Of course within any range of odds there will be individual horses that are poor value and other horses that are good value.

If you can find strong bets at the shorter end of the market plus make sure you get top odds about them - don't rely on the tote, because you will often get big unders, particularly with Melbourne and Sydney Saturday racing, then you are in there with a real chance.

The other advantage of betting at the shorter end of the market is that you have a higher win strike rate, which is extremely important from a betting and psychological standpoint.

How many punters can tolerate a strike rate of 10% or less by backing horses at double figure odds? How many punters will be able to tolerate 20, 30 or even more bets losing in a row? Because if you consistently back horses at $10.00 and longer odds for the win, you can be guaranteed this will happen.

The key of course in wagering is to only bet when you believe you have an advantage. If you can't state clearly why this is a profitable situation for you to bet in then you should keep your money in your pocket.

Just Register for the Forum:
Then you can access the FREE Top Four ratings
in the Free Saturday Horse Racing Information and Betting Tips Forum.
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This edition of Punt to Win:
Where is the best horse racing betting value?
The Free Track Specialists horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Derby & Doncaster Handicap - 6/4/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: H. E. Tancred Stakes & Storm Queen Stakes - 28/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Golden Slipper Stakes Day - 21/3/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/4/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 28/3/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 21/3/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 21/3/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

Our tipsters have had some fantastic winning days in the past such as:

Lucky Lil's tips have found winners which win again at value:

Have a look at this:

22/11/2014: 4 horses, winners
Tina Melina $11.60
Resurrect $8.40


15/11/2014: 7 horses, winners
Wawail $9.50
Vashka $7.00
Snow White $6.00


8/11/2014: 8 horses, winners
Hucklebuck $13.00
Lord Aspen $3.80
Abaddon $2.10


4/11/2014: 12 horses, winners
Hijack Hussy $12.00
Mahara $6.00
Grand Marshal $4.40


On Saturday, 23rd. November, 2013, our tipster gave followers Padrino, a $51.00 winner and the Free Ratings found a $19,048.40 First Four at Eagle Farm!!

On Saturday, 16th. November, 2013, our tipster gave followers Missing Page, $15.00 winner and Ninth Legion, $7.00 winner!

FREE Tips
PLUS FREE Top Four Ratings are available for you:

Just Register for the Forum:
Then you can access the FREE Top Four ratings
in
the Free Saturday Horse Racing Information & Betting Tips Forum.
Click here to register for the Forum

Subscribe to the free Pro-Punter Newsletter for:
FREE betting tips, FREE Top Four Ratings and more.
Click here


2014 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends

Horse

Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Reparations 31.00 44.60 $408
General Groove 21.00 24.90 $117
Antelucan 11.00 14.80 $114
Protectionist 8.00 8.60 $18
Atacama 5.50 6.10 $18
Hijack Hussy 10.50 11.00 $15
Mahara 5.60 6.00 $12
Risen From Doubt 7.80 8.10 $9
Precious Gem 5.70 6.00 $9
Grand Marshal 3.70 4.00 $9


 

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