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11/4/2015 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Rosehill on Saturday, 28th. March, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Rosehill: Track Good.

R6: $400,000 Storm Queen Stakes. Group 1. 3YO. Fillies. Set weights.
Distance: 2000 metres.
Field size: 14
Winner: Fenway
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Lee & Shannon Hope
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $26.00
Bookmaker starting price: $21.00
Best tote: $19.80
Second: First Seal - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John P. Thompson
Bookmaker starting price: $1.80 favourite

R7: $1,500,000 H. E. Tancred Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 2400 metres.
Field size: 11
Winner: Hartnell
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $3.10
Bookmaker starting price: $3.10
Best tote: $3.40
Second: To The World - beaten by 1.3 lengths
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: Yasutoshi Ikee
Bookmaker starting price: $2.60 favourite


Here is the Group 1 horse racing result from the Moonee Valley night meeting on Friday, 27th. March, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Moonee Valley: Track Good.

R7: $400,000 William Reid Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1200 metres.
Field size: 14
Winner: Lucky Hussler
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Darren Weir
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $12.00
Bookmaker starting price: $12.00
Best tote: $12.10
Second: Vain Queen - beaten by 1.75 lengths
Jockey: Nicholas Hall
Trainer: John Sadler
Bookmaker starting price: $5.00
Favourite: Earthquake
Finish: 5th.
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker starting price: $4.60 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
Where is the best horse racing betting value?
The Free Track Specialists horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Derby & Doncaster Handicap - 6/4/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: H. E. Tancred Stakes & Storm Queen Stakes - 28/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Golden Slipper Stakes Day - 21/3/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/4/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 28/3/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 21/3/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 21/3/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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