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11/4/2015 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Randwick on Monday, 6th. April, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Randwick: Track Heavy R1 - R5, Soft R6 - R10.

R6: $1,000,000 Sires Produce Stakes. Group 1. 2YO. Set weights.
Distance: 1400 metres.
Field size: 10
Winner: Pride Of Dubai
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Peter & Paul Snowden
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $5.50
Bookmaker starting price: $4.60
Best tote: $4.40
Second: Odyssey Moon - beaten by 0.8 lengths
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Rodney Northam
Bookmaker starting price: $11.00
Favourite: English
Finish: 6th.
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker starting price: $4.20 favourite

R7: $2,000,000 Australian Derby. Group 1. 3YO. Set weights.
Distance: 2400 metres.
Field size: 10
Winner: Mongolian Khan
Jockey: Opie Bosson
Trainer: Murray Baker
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $7.00
Bookmaker starting price: $6.50
Best tote: $6.40
Second: Hauraki - beaten by 0.8 lengths
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker starting price: $4.00
Favourite: Preferment
Finish: 8th.
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $3.70 favourite

R8: $2,500,000 T. J. Smith Stakes. Group 1. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1200 metres.
Field size: 10
Winner: Chautauqua
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $4.40
Bookmaker starting price: $4.00
Best tote: $3.80
Second: Lord Of The Sky - beaten by 0.1 lengths
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Robbie Laing
Bookmaker starting price: $21.00
Favourite: Terravista
Finish: 3rd.
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Joseph Pride
Bookmaker starting price: $2.60 favourite

R9: $3,000,000 Doncaster Handicap. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 20
Winner: Kermadec
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $8.50
Bookmaker starting price: $8.00
Best tote: $10.10
Second: Real Impact - beaten by 1.8 lengths
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: Noriyuki Hori
Bookmaker starting price: $10.00
Favourite: Pornichet
Finish: 5th.
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker starting price: $7.00 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
Where is the best horse racing betting value?
The Free Track Specialists horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Derby & Doncaster Handicap - 6/4/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: H. E. Tancred Stakes & Storm Queen Stakes - 28/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Golden Slipper Stakes Day - 21/3/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/4/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 28/3/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 21/3/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 21/3/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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