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21/3/2015 edition

Horse Racing Wide Barriers Winning Odds and Betting Myth

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How often are you told that, "This horse can't win because of the barrier?"

It's a complete myth. It's absolute nonsense.

But it's not just media tipsters that fall for it. Many trainers will scratch horses that draw wide barriers. Leading trainers in media interviews also regularly give their horses from wide barriers little chance of winning.

Have a look yourself at the barriers of winning horses in fields of at least ten runners. You will see that wide barriers are pretty much irrelevant.

Of course, horses from inside barriers win more races.

Why?

The answer is obvious.

In a field of ten horses there are nine horses in the first nine barriers and only one horse in a barrier with double figures. In a field of 11 horses there are nine horses in the first nine barriers and only two horses in a barrier with double figures. In a field of 12 horses there are nine horses in the first nine barriers and only three horses in a barrier with double figures.

Most publicly available barrier statistics are absolutely useless. All they do is list the numbers of winners from various barriers. In a field of 9, it is of course impossible for a winner to come from barrier 10 or wider. While of course there is always a horse that starts from barriers 1, 2 and 3etc...

A good tip is to do your form ignoring barriers. If you like a horse don't dismiss it because of the wide barrier.

But because so many punters do dismiss horses because of the wide barrier draw you are more likely to get over the odds than backing a horse with the same form from one of the inside barriers.

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This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing wide barriers winning odds & betting myth
Big punters & banned punters you can win here!
The Free Trifecta Lay the Favourite horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Cup & Newmarket Handicap - 14/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Guineas & Randwick Guineas - 7/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Blue Diamond Stakes & Oakleigh Plate - 28/2/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 14/3/2015, 7/3/2015 & 28/2/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 28/2/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

Our tipsters have had some fantastic winning days in the past such as:

Lucky Lil's tips have found winners which win again at value:

Have a look at this:

22/11/2014: 4 horses, winners
Tina Melina $11.60
Resurrect $8.40


15/11/2014: 7 horses, winners
Wawail $9.50
Vashka $7.00
Snow White $6.00


8/11/2014: 8 horses, winners
Hucklebuck $13.00
Lord Aspen $3.80
Abaddon $2.10


4/11/2014: 12 horses, winners
Hijack Hussy $12.00
Mahara $6.00
Grand Marshal $4.40


On Saturday, 23rd. November, 2013, our tipster gave followers Padrino, a $51.00 winner and the Free Ratings found a $19,048.40 First Four at Eagle Farm!!

On Saturday, 16th. November, 2013, our tipster gave followers Missing Page, $15.00 winner and Ninth Legion, $7.00 winner!

Just Register for the Forum:
Then you can access the FREE Top Four ratings
in
the Free Saturday Horse Racing Information & Betting Tips Forum.
Click here to register for the Forum

Subscribe to the free Pro-Punter Newsletter for:
FREE betting tips, FREE Top Four Ratings and more.
Click here


2014 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends

Horse

Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Reparations 31.00 44.60 $408
General Groove 21.00 24.90 $117
Antelucan 11.00 14.80 $114
Protectionist 8.00 8.60 $18
Atacama 5.50 6.10 $18
Hijack Hussy 10.50 11.00 $15
Mahara 5.60 6.00 $12
Risen From Doubt 7.80 8.10 $9
Precious Gem 5.70 6.00 $9
Grand Marshal 3.70 4.00 $9


 

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