Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

21/3/2015 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

In a handicap, by the time horses are handicapped with 60kg. (61kg. with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

This table below shows recent results for horses that carried 60kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a bookmaker starting price of $10.00 or shorter. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We have eliminated any races where more than three horses carried at least 60kg. with a starting price of $10.00 or shorter. We're updating each week from the main Saturday horse race meetings held in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Flemington - 14/3/2015
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Earthquake
60.5kg.
3
1100
$8.50
2/12
Natuzzi
60kg.
2
1400
$7.00
5/9
Flemington - 7/3/2015
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Profit Share
60kg.
1
1400
$4.20 equal fav.
4/9
Flamberge
60kg.
10
1000
$4.80
3/13
Phantom Brew
60kg.
7
1800
$7.50
6/13
Caulfield - 28/2/2015
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Big Memory
60kg.
5
2000
$3.70 fav.
3/11
Randwick - 14/2/2015
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Weinholt
60kg.
1
1200
$9.00
7/8
Cosmic Endeavour
60kg.
8
1200
$3.30 fav.
4/11
Sandown Hillside - 7/2/2015
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Jacquintot Bay
60kg.
1
1600
$2.00 fav.
1/7
 
This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing wide barriers winning odds & betting myth
Big punters & banned punters you can win here!
The Free Trifecta Lay the Favourite horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Cup & Newmarket Handicap - 14/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Guineas & Randwick Guineas - 7/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Blue Diamond Stakes & Oakleigh Plate - 28/2/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 14/3/2015, 7/3/2015 & 28/2/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 28/2/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.