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21/3/2015 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here is the Group 1 horse racing result from Warwick Farm on Saturday, 28th. February, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Warwick Farm: Track Soft R1 - R5, Good R6 - R8.

R6: $500,000 Chipping Norton Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1600 metres.
Field size: 15
Winner: Contributer
Jockey: James McDonald
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $2.60
Bookmaker starting price: $2.50 favourite
Best tote: $2.50
Second: Hartnell - beaten by 0.5 lengths
Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker starting price: $18.00


Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Caulfield on Saturday, 28th. February, 2015.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Caulfield: Track Good.

R5: $400,000 Futurity Stakes. Group 1. 3YO & UP. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1400 metres.
Field size: 8
Winner: Suavito
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Nigel Blackiston
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $13.00
Bookmaker starting price: $10.00
Best tote: $11.50
Second: Smokin' Joey - beaten by 1.25 lengths
Jockey: Chris Parnham
Trainer: Wez Hunter
Bookmaker starting price: $15.00
Favourite: Dissident
Finish: 3rd.
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
Bookmaker starting price: $1.45 favourite

R7: $400,000 Oakleigh Plate. Group 1. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Shamal Wind
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $10.00
Bookmaker starting price: $10.00
Best tote: $11.40
Second: Under The Louvre - beaten by 0.75 lengths
Jockey: Daniel Moor
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
Bookmaker starting price: $17.00
Favourite: Earthquake
Finish: 10th.
Jockey: Chad Schofield
Trainer: John O'Shea
Bookmaker starting price: $5.00 favourite

R8: $1,000,000 Blue Diamond Stakes. Group 1. 2YO. Set weights.
Distance: 1200 metres.
Field size: 14
Winner: Pride Of Dubai
Jockey: Damian Browne
Trainer: Peter & Paul Snowden
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $6.00
Bookmaker starting price: $6.00
Best tote: $6.10
Second: Reemah - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: Chris Symons
Trainer: David Hayes & Tom Dabernig
Bookmaker starting price: $101.00
Favourite: Fontiton
Finish: 5th.
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
Bookmaker starting price: $2.25 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing wide barriers winning odds & betting myth
Big punters & banned punters you can win here!
The Free Trifecta Lay the Favourite horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Cup & Newmarket Handicap - 14/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Guineas & Randwick Guineas - 7/3/2015
Group 1 horse racing results: Blue Diamond Stakes & Oakleigh Plate - 28/2/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership package!
Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 14/3/2015, 7/3/2015 & 28/2/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 28/2/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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