Punt to Win
Winning Form is Good Form
How often are you told to ignore a horse's last run because that wasn't its true form? We suggest you do that with a lot of caution, particularly if the run was an absolute shocker.
The following example is a good lesson. Don't forget it. So let's have a look at what happened at Flemington racetrack on Derby Day, 2000.
Sky Heights was sent out as the $3.50 favourite in the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes over 2000 metres. One week earlier in the W.S.Cox Plate at Moonee Valley racetrack over 2040 metres Sky Heights started second favourite at $5.00 and finished a dismal 26 lengths behind champion mare Sunline. That's right. 26 lengths.
There was a huge amount of pre race publicity. That was the race where Sky Heights was really going to apply the pressure to Sunline, really test her out and make sure she didn't have a cosy run in the lead. So what happened? Sky Heights missed the start and never got into the race, putting in an absolutely appalling run.
But come Derby Day there was one consistent theme from tipsters everywhere. Forget Sky Heights went around only seven days earlier. The true Sky Heights' form was shown by his brilliant win the start before.
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