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Punt to Win |
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7/6/2002 edition Eagle Farm Last Saturday's big Queensland Oaks Day meeting at Eagle Farm looked like a tough betting day and so it turned out. Four of the eight races were won by: Teldawn $31.00 (tote $42.70) What can be learned from the wash up? 1. Donnadane $2.25 favourite (as short as $1.70 on the New South Wales tote at jump), finished second to Teldawn in the opening race of the day. A very bad start for many punters. The popular Damigos ran third in this field of 10. The trifecta paid as low as $237. A payout way under the odds. Clearly taking Teldawn to win with two short priced horses to run second and third was poor value. 2. Donnadane was trained by John Hawkes. Later in the day short priced $2.80 favourite Freemason, also trained by John Hawkes, also ran second. But Lord Denning, one of the winning bolters on the day was also trained by John Hawkes. Favourites backers will not be too pleased about that. Some years ago a punter I knew said, "John Hawkes' horses are a menace to punters." He was using a quinella betting system which was based upon selective horses firming in the betting being used as bankers for quinellas and other horses firming being taken in the quinella with that horse. (A quinella is selecting the first two finishers in a race in any order.) He regularly was wiped out when Hawkes' trained horses that
firmed significantly in the betting missed out for him and was particularly
irritated when other Hawkes' trained horses which eased in the betting
ran first or second at long odds, wiping out his quinellas. This edition of Punt to Win: Back Tote Longshots?
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| Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. | |||
