Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

8/10/2011 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields


Sportsbet Australia.
Propun web site joining special.
$250 FREE BET!
Click here!

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 1st. October, 2011.

On this day the $500,000 Group 1 Epsom Handicap
was held at Randwick and won by the 4YO mare Secret Admirer which was solid in the bookmaker betting on track at $9.00. Best tote odds was $10.80. Secret Admirer was ridden by Brenton Avdulla and trained by Grahame Begg.

The $4.00 favourite Sincero, ridden by Chris O’Brien and trained by Stephen Farley finished eighth in the field of 17 horses, 4.4 lengths from the winner.

Randwick: Track Dead.

R3 $175,000 Roman Consul Stakes. 3YO. Group 2. Set weights.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Foxwedge
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $1.85
Top fluctuation: $1.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: John O'Shea

R4 $200,000 Premiere Stakes. 3YO & UP. Group 2. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Love Conquers All
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $1.90
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes
Winner: Neeson
Starting price: $8.50
Top fluctuation: $13.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.90
Jockey: Michael Rodd
Trainer: Joseph Pride


Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 24th. September, 2011.

Rosehill: Track Good.

R2 $250,000 3YO. Stan Fox Stakes. Group 2. Set weights.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Manawanui
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $1.20
Top fluctuation: $1.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.04
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Ron Leemon


Doomben: Track Good.

R1 $50,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Pretty Pins
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $1.85
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: John P Thompson
Winner: Kelbenjar
Starting price: $8.00
Top fluctuation: $8.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $6.50
Jockey: Eddie Wilkinson
Trainer: Natalie McCall

This edition of Punt to Win:
Moonee Valley Cox Plate Day horse racing betting tips & odds
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Beat the Tipsters' Poll horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 1/10/2011 & 24/9/2011
Betting favourites in small fields: 17/9/2011 & 10/9/2011
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 10/9/2011
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.