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10/5/2002 edition

Open Betting Races
and Value

Open races do not mean value

We'll keep hammering away at this one until enough people over time contact the racing media responsible and tell then to stop telling them that open betting races mean value.

Before the last race of the day at Victoria Park, a 3YO Open, a wide open, terrible betting race, Sky Racing's Alf Matthews said, "..Open race. So you're going to get value whatever you like in this particular one. "

That is not correct.

How can it possibly be that the more open a race is, which means the less chances a punter has of backing a winner with one selection, the more value there is also for the punter? That is a blatant contradiction.

Tell you what Alf Matthews, I'll offer you 20/1 about any single number of your choice coming up on a roulette wheel. To quote your words, "You're going to get value whatever you like." So I'll be quite happy to offer you that "value" all day every day. Will you take up the challenge? After all there is a winning number every spin.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Adelaide bookmakers - tight betting odds
Larry Olsen, you don't "have to take" poor odds
Value and open betting races
Media hype horses - be wary
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Victoria Park plunge horses
Money talks - Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 3/5/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners recently?
If you did, see the minimum prices you should have received. Make sure you do
!

Remember short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
Air She Goes
4.30 6.00 52% $170
Dolphin Dance
3.80 5.00 43% $120
Lady Cay
3.10 4.20 53% $110
Air Of Grace
2.40 3.00 43% $60


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