Punt to Win

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10/5/2002 edition

Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 ( 3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Victoria Park, Saturday, 4th.May 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Zazzman 12.00 5.00 8.34 3/17 0.2 lengths
Damien Oliver Tony Vasil
 
Dandify 3.50 2.80 7.14 2/11 0.7 lengths
Damien Oliver Jack Denham
 
Our Kazz
1.80
1.60
6.94
3/12
1.7 lengths
Damien Oliver
Craig Ritchie
 
Tully Thunder
5.00
3.20
11.25
1/18
0.8 lengths
Damien Oliver
Ross McDonald
 

Four horses firmed the necessary 5% in the bookies' betting ring to qualify as a meaningful plunge for us. Damien Oliver was the jockey for each one.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Adelaide bookmakers - tight betting odds
Larry Olsen, you don't "have to take" poor odds
Value and open betting races
Media hype horses - be wary
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Victoria Park plunge horses
Money talks - Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 3/5/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.


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